What happened to launches that shared this shape

Evidesa's collector enrols new Solana launches as they appear and captures each one's structure — authorities, holder concentration, liquidity, pair age — at a comparable age, then records whether a tradeable market still existed at day 1, day 7 and day 30. Give it a captured mint and it reads, for each recorded property, the launches that shared that band: how many resolved, and what fraction still had a market. Every number is a rate over a named population with its confidence interval beside it — never a prediction about the token you asked about.

WholeThe publication gate: every cell accumulates resolved outcomes toward the same scribed line.DrawnStacks below the line are withheld with their progress stated; only a stack past the line is read as a rate, and then with its interval.Not drawnNo real cell — the columns and their heights are the instrument's grammar, not this corpus's counts. Today's actual counts print below, per dimension.

The gate, exactly

Tradeable, defined. A launch counts as still tradeable at a checkpoint when its recorded liquidity was at least $1,000 — the same line the rest of the product draws. Not tradeable means the market fell below it; unresolved means the provider did not answer, and it is counted apart, never folded into either side.

What may print. A cell publishes only past 50 resolved outcomes, with a 95% interval no wider than 20 points, and with at most 10% of its enrolment unresolved. Below any of those lines the cell answers with why it is withheld and how far along it is — the defence is arithmetic, not wording.

Cells are single properties. Crossing dimensions shatters the sample and turns a reference class into a search for whichever intersection looks dramatic, so this page never intersects two properties. Its predecessor — a single "historical similarity score" — was retired before it ever shipped a number.

The population is young. Collection began 2026-08-08 and nothing here is backfilled: day-30 cells cannot resolve before day 30 has passed for anyone. Cells cross their floors on their own as the corpus ages, and until they do, this page says so instead of showing a number.

Every population here is Evidesa's own point-in-time record — launches enrolled as they appeared, measured at a comparable age, with outcomes checked on a schedule. Similarity is not outcome probability, resemblance of structure is not destiny, and nothing on this page is a prediction or advice of any kind.